World Eventsactive

Will a non-OpenAI AI model top the LMSYS leaderboard by Dec 2026?

YES52%1.92x

NO48%2.08x

Volume160010 traders

Last move0%0 coins

Price history

13 trades

80%50%20%

14 Mar 202618 Mar 2026

TimeSideYESSize

8:20 amYES35%500 coins

8:59 amYES77%50 coins

8:20 amNO43%250 coins

8:20 amNO54%200 coins

8:20 amYES53%100 coins

8:59 amYES49%50 coins

8:59 amYES70%500 coins

8:59 amYES68%200 coins

Resolution

25 Dec 2026, 9:00 am

SourceLMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard (lmarena.ai)

OutcomePending

RulesResolves YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2026, a model not developed or co-developed by OpenAI holds the #1 overall position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard (lmsys.org). Resolves NO if an OpenAI model holds the top spot for the entire period from market open through December 31, 2026.

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Audit trail

1 events

Market publishedKrowdCall Admin · created · 18 Mar 2026, 8:19 am

Disputes

No disputes on this market.